Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.5%
Boavista
12.8%
Draw
81.7%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Boavista
vs
2.50
Benfica
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.8%
0-3
13.2%
0-1
12.9%
0-4
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
1-3
6.4%
1-1
5.9%
0-0
4.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
1-0
2.7%
1-5
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).