Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
AFC Wimbledon
23.5%
Draw
17.0%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.73
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).