Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Carlisle
23.3%
Draw
27.2%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Carlisle
vs
1.44
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS66.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
3-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).