Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.9%
Estoril
18.8%
Draw
67.3%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Estoril
vs
2.09
Porto
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).