Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Cagliari
28.7%
Draw
41.5%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Cagliari
vs
1.20
Lazio
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).