Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Harrogate
18.3%
Draw
70.5%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Harrogate
vs
2.06
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.9%
0-1
13.9%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).