Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.8%
Bournemouth
16.2%
Draw
7.0%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Bournemouth
vs
0.71
Leicester
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
5-0
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).