Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.7%
Hannover
17.4%
Draw
8.9%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Hannover
vs
0.76
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
6.0%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).