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26 Oct 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.3%
Cordoba
21.2%
Draw
20.5%
Eldense

Expected Goals (xG)

2.00

Cordoba

vs
1.10

Eldense

Markets

BTTS57.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).