Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Bari
30.7%
Draw
34.4%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Bari
vs
1.17
Ternana
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).