Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Marseille
19.9%
Draw
13.8%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Marseille
vs
0.77
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).