Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.4%
Kortrijk
21.7%
Draw
67.9%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Kortrijk
vs
1.86
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.7%
0-4
4.4%
2-1
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
1-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).