Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Getafe
31.6%
Draw
29.6%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Getafe
vs
0.91
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).