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14 Mar 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.6%
Celtic
26.7%
Draw
24.7%
Motherwell

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Celtic

vs
1.03

Motherwell

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).