Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Parma
27.4%
Draw
18.8%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Parma
vs
0.69
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).