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26 Jan 2025 · 16:15

Angers

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.4%
Lens
20.1%
Draw
9.6%
Angers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Lens

vs
0.48

Angers

Markets

BTTS31.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.9%
2-0
16.6%
3-0
10.0%
0-0
9.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).