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AHT: 01CSV

03 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.9%
Guingamp
21.9%
Draw
34.1%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Guingamp

vs
1.44

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS60.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).