Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Lens
19.4%
Draw
13.8%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Lens
vs
0.80
Brest
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).