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14 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.0%
Alloa
26.6%
Draw
25.5%
FC Edinburgh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Alloa

vs
1.10

FC Edinburgh

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).