Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Extremadura UD
28.0%
Draw
29.3%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Extremadura UD
vs
1.00
Numancia
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).