Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.0%
York
14.1%
Draw
4.9%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
York
vs
0.51
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
3-0
13.0%
1-0
11.5%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-1
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.2%
5-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).