Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.1%
Fenerbahce
18.7%
Draw
11.3%
Rizespor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Fenerbahce
vs
1.12
Rizespor
Markets
BTTS64.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.591.6%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.554.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.6%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).