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HHT: 01CSV

06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.3%
Hull
23.4%
Draw
18.3%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Hull

vs
0.99

Reading

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).