Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Everton
21.3%
Draw
13.6%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Everton
vs
0.96
Luton
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.0%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).