Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Sp Braga
24.8%
Draw
49.0%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Sp Braga
vs
1.51
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).