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HHT: 10CSV

04 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.8%
Doncaster
24.6%
Draw
39.5%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Doncaster

vs
1.31

Coventry

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).