Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Valencia
29.0%
Draw
23.3%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Valencia
vs
0.83
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).