Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Accrington
24.3%
Draw
25.0%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Accrington
vs
1.02
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).