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DHT: 10CSV

19 Dec 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Sampdoria
28.5%
Draw
45.4%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Sampdoria

vs
1.26

Venezia

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).