Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Hamburg
22.4%
Draw
28.7%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Hamburg
vs
1.62
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS71.4%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-2
5.0%
1-0
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).