Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Sp Lisbon
15.8%
Draw
7.9%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.54
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.6%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-0
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).