Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Union Berlin
26.2%
Draw
14.6%
Anderlecht
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Union Berlin
vs
0.63
Anderlecht
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
13.5%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).