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AHT: 01CSV

30 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.0%
Reims
34.0%
Draw
26.9%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Reims

vs
0.66

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS27.0%
Over 0.579.3%
Over 1.544.1%
Over 2.519.8%
Over 3.56.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.7%
1-0
19.9%
0-1
15.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
5.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
0-3
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).