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HHT: 10CSV

20 Dec 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.8%
Tamworth
25.6%
Draw
55.6%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Tamworth

vs
1.72

Southend

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).