Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Carlisle
29.0%
Draw
48.1%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Carlisle
vs
1.22
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).