Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Eastleigh
26.4%
Draw
36.8%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Eastleigh
vs
1.48
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).