Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Perugia
29.7%
Draw
24.9%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Perugia
vs
0.97
Benevento
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).