Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.7%
Spezia
19.2%
Draw
71.1%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Spezia
vs
1.97
Milan
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-2
15.4%
0-3
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
5.0%
1-0
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).