Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Celta
23.8%
Draw
16.7%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Celta
vs
0.80
Valencia
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).