Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
İstanbul Başakşehir
24.5%
Draw
19.2%
Rizespor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
1.27
Rizespor
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).