Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Eibar
30.3%
Draw
14.4%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Eibar
vs
0.47
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS26.5%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.550.6%
Over 2.524.3%
Over 3.59.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.5%
0-0
18.1%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
10.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
0-2
2.0%
4-0
1.7%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).