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27 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.5%
Granada
26.8%
Draw
22.7%
Extremadura UD

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Granada

vs
0.86

Extremadura UD

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).