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14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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92.6%
Sholing
5.0%
Draw
2.4%
Weymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

4.20

Sholing

vs
0.69

Weymouth

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.595.5%
Over 2.586.6%
Over 3.571.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-0
9.7%
3-0
9.3%
5-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
5-1
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
1-0
3.2%
4-2
2.4%
3-2
2.2%
1-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).