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18 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.7%
Sporting Gijón
25.5%
Draw
44.8%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Sporting Gijón

vs
1.48

Levante

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).