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17 Mar 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Clermont
32.3%
Draw
35.5%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Clermont

vs
0.92

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.553.0%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.4%
0-1
15.8%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).