Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Salford
20.8%
Draw
22.7%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Salford
vs
1.17
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS59.1%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).