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AHT: 01CSV

07 Aug 2022 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.3%
Portimonense
23.3%
Draw
24.3%
Boavista

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Portimonense

vs
1.05

Boavista

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).