Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Hoffenheim
22.7%
Draw
31.6%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Hoffenheim
vs
1.64
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS70.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
0-1
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).