Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Gillingham
29.2%
Draw
35.2%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Gillingham
vs
1.03
Accrington
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
3-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).