Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Spezia
27.8%
Draw
27.0%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Spezia
vs
1.14
Empoli
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).